Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds, tips and predictions

The Baltimore Orioles (30-62) and Tampa Bay Rays (55-38) play the prelude to a three-game set at Tropicana Field on Monday. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines of BetMGM Sportsbook around the Orioles vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Spenser Watkins is the planned starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 1-0 with 1.74 ERA and 1.26 WHIP with 6 K and 6 BB over 10 1/3 IP over two starts and one relief appearance.

Watkins hasn’t given up much on runs in his previous two starts, bringing the Toronto Blue Jays only 1 run over 5 innings in a July 6th win and only 1 run over 4 1/3 innings in a no-decision against July 11th the Chicago White Sox last time. His problem has allowed walks, with six free tickets issued in the last 9 1/3 innings.

LHP Ryan Yarbrough is the projected starting jar for the rays. He is 6-3 with 4.30 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 7.4 K / 9 and 1.6 BB / 9 over 96 1/3 IP in 13 starts and five relief appearances.

The southpaw has won 2-0 in two wins over the Toronto Blue Jays so far in July with a 2.70 ERA.

He’s posted a 1-0 mark with a 3.75 ERA and 0.234 batting average opponents against 12 innings, while serving 4 home runs in two starts against the Orioles this season.

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Orioles at Rays odds, lines, tips and predictions

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; Visit USA TODAY Sports for a full list. The odds were last updated at 7:05 a.m. ET.

• Money line: Orioles +170 (bet $ 100 to win $ 170) | Rays -210 (bet $ 210 to win $ 100)
• Against the spread / ATS: Orioles +1.5 (-115) | Rays -1.5 (-105)
• Over under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

forecast

Rays 5, Orioles 3

Money line (ML)

The rays (-210) cost you twice your potential return, and that’s just a little more expensive than I’d wager, even against the low Orioles. Baltimore proved to a Houston street sweeper a few weeks ago that they can cobble together some formidable victories.

AVOID, and play the runline instead.

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Tread Line / Against the Spread (ATS)

On the running line, especially at home, the RAYS -1.5 (-105) are much better value for money. Tampa Bay is not only 7-3 in Yarbrough’s last 10 starts, but 8-2 down the run line in its last 10 outings, including five favorites with wins of 2 or more runs.

Over / Under (O / U)

The UNDER 9 (-115) is the game in this series opener. Watkins hasn’t given in much for the O’s, and Yarbrough has been on point for the Rays lately.

Tampa Bay has averaged just 4.8 runs per game in Yarbrough’s last four games, and the under is 5-2-1 in the last eight games between those teams on The Trop.

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